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The best indicator for Prologis (PLD)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Prologis (PLD) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Trend · Weekly

EMA 20/50 Cross

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Prologis (PLD) over ~28.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 3.5% CAGR.

7.4%
CAGR
0.44
Sharpe
-58.8%
Max DD
33.3%
Win rate
5.49
Profit factor
-3.5%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
EMA 20/50 Cross
-3.5% · Sharpe 0.44
Daily
Holy Grail Confluence
-3.0% · Sharpe 0.43
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly7.4%0.44-58.8%33.3%15-3.5%
2Holy Grail Confluence Daily8.0%0.43-63.3%80.5%41-3.0%
3RSI Trend (>50) Weekly5.2%0.37-46.7%42.2%83-5.6%
4EMA 50/200 Cross Daily5.3%0.35-61.6%38.1%21-5.7%
5Donchian Breakout Weekly4.4%0.35-49.4%58.3%24-6.5%
6WaveTrend (8/6/4) Weekly6.0%0.35-80.2%95.8%24-4.8%
7EMA 20/50 Cross Daily5.0%0.34-41.1%40.3%72-6.0%
8Williams %R Weekly5.6%0.34-80.3%85.0%40-5.3%
9Donchian Midline Weekly4.8%0.34-40.0%44.9%89-6.1%
10SMA 50/200 Cross Daily4.7%0.33-63.1%50.0%24-6.2%
11CCI Daily4.7%0.31-80.0%70.1%137-6.2%
12WaveTrend (8/6/4) Daily4.9%0.31-83.1%72.3%101-6.1%
13MACD Weekly4.4%0.31-65.6%54.2%59-6.5%
14CCI Weekly4.6%0.31-80.1%84.4%32-6.3%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Prologis (PLD), EMA 20/50 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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