The best indicator for Royal Caribbean Group (RCL)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Rate of Change
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) over ~33.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 4.9% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 17.4% | 0.67 | -50.8% | 43.1% | 510 | 4.9% |
| 2 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 17.2% | 0.67 | -55.4% | 39.2% | 398 | 4.7% |
| 3 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 15.7% | 0.63 | -65.6% | 41.4% | 408 | 3.2% |
| 4 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 13.6% | 0.61 | -71.7% | 43.1% | 130 | 1.1% |
| 5 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 14.1% | 0.57 | -51.7% | 41.2% | 730 | 1.6% |
| 6 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 12.8% | 0.55 | -74.6% | 49.7% | 147 | 0.4% |
| 7 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 11.8% | 0.5 | -68.9% | 41.1% | 331 | -0.7% |
| 8 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.49 | -61.9% | 45.8% | 83 | -2.1% |
| 9 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.1% | 0.48 | -71.8% | 44.7% | 1623 | -1.4% |
| 10 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.48 | -63.8% | 45.6% | 90 | -2.5% |
| 11 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.46 | -54.3% | 50.0% | 304 | -2.5% |
| 12 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.3% | 0.44 | -78.7% | 41.1% | 73 | -3.2% |
| 13 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.2% | 0.42 | -77.1% | 39.1% | 23 | -4.3% |
| 14 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.42 | -55.1% | 48.4% | 31 | -5.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Royal Caribbean Group (RCL), Rate of Change on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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