The best indicator for Smurfit Westrock (SW)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Smurfit Westrock (SW) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
CCI
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Smurfit Westrock (SW) over ~18.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 1.6% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 13.5% | 0.61 | -37.2% | 66.7% | 18 | 1.6% |
| 2 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 13.1% | 0.59 | -41.6% | 56.0% | 25 | 1.2% |
| 3 | MACD | Weekly | 14.2% | 0.56 | -60.1% | 45.5% | 33 | 2.3% |
| 4 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.62 | -30.6% | 75.0% | 12 | 0.6% |
| 5 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 9.5% | 0.46 | -47.3% | 68.4% | 79 | -2.5% |
| 6 | Donchian Midline | Weekly | 10.4% | 0.46 | -49.5% | 40.0% | 40 | -1.5% |
| 7 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 11.5% | 0.52 | -52.8% | 76.9% | 13 | -0.5% |
| 8 | EMA 20/50 Cross | Daily | 9.3% | 0.43 | -58.4% | 37.2% | 43 | -2.7% |
| 9 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 7.9% | 0.43 | -50.1% | 73.2% | 71 | -4.1% |
| 10 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 8.5% | 0.42 | -45.5% | 74.2% | 62 | -3.5% |
| 11 | EMA-10 Trend | Weekly | 9.2% | 0.42 | -55.8% | 40.8% | 76 | -2.7% |
| 12 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.41 | -37.5% | 66.7% | 18 | -5.3% |
| 13 | Rate of Change | Weekly | 8.5% | 0.41 | -63.0% | 51.0% | 51 | -3.4% |
| 14 | Donchian Breakout | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.4 | -60.8% | 52.6% | 19 | -4.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Smurfit Westrock (SW), CCI on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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