The best indicator for Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Stochastic
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.3% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.42 | -54.4% | 76.6% | 47 | -2.3% |
| 2 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 6.8% | 0.41 | -73.2% | 70.4% | 314 | -2.0% |
| 3 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 5.6% | 0.39 | -66.0% | 70.2% | 205 | -3.1% |
| 4 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 6.0% | 0.38 | -75.8% | 70.2% | 238 | -2.7% |
| 5 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 5.8% | 0.38 | -56.2% | 72.6% | 62 | -2.9% |
| 6 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 4.8% | 0.32 | -74.8% | 67.1% | 234 | -3.9% |
| 7 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 4.7% | 0.32 | -61.4% | 82.9% | 35 | -4.0% |
| 8 | SMA 50/200 Cross | Daily | 3.9% | 0.28 | -69.9% | 57.1% | 35 | -4.8% |
| 9 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 3.6% | 0.28 | -66.3% | 79.2% | 48 | -5.1% |
| 10 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 3.4% | 0.27 | -73.9% | 59.1% | 22 | -5.3% |
| 11 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 3.5% | 0.26 | -74.4% | 76.5% | 51 | -5.2% |
| 12 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 3.2% | 0.26 | -57.1% | 67.7% | 65 | -5.6% |
| 13 | EMA 50/200 Cross | Daily | 3.1% | 0.25 | -67.3% | 41.7% | 36 | -5.7% |
| 14 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 2.9% | 0.25 | -60.1% | 67.2% | 64 | -5.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Stochastic on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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