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The best indicator for Synchrony Financial (SYF)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Synchrony Financial (SYF) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Trend · Weekly

ADX / DMI

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Synchrony Financial (SYF) over ~11.9 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.6% CAGR.

11.5%
CAGR
0.64
Sharpe
-30.8%
Max DD
58.3%
Win rate
6.32
Profit factor
-0.6%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
ADX / DMI
-0.6% · Sharpe 0.64
Daily
EMA 20/50 Cross
-1.6% · Sharpe 0.54
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1ADX / DMI Weekly11.5%0.64-30.8%58.3%24-0.6%
2MACD Weekly12.9%0.63-29.3%39.1%230.8%
3EMA 20/50 Cross Daily10.6%0.54-53.7%39.1%23-1.6%
4RSI Trend (>50) Daily10.6%0.53-41.2%40.3%159-1.6%
5EMA-10 Trend Weekly10.0%0.51-41.3%44.0%50-2.1%
6Donchian Midline Weekly8.3%0.46-38.7%37.9%29-3.8%
7Bollinger Breakout Daily6.6%0.43-25.8%49.1%53-5.6%
8Rate of Change Daily7.7%0.42-34.1%51.0%194-4.4%
9Donchian Midline Daily6.9%0.39-44.2%40.6%165-5.3%
10MACD Daily6.2%0.37-51.5%41.5%123-6.0%
11Williams %R Daily4.1%0.29-65.0%68.8%77-8.1%
12ADX / DMI Daily3.5%0.28-40.3%42.5%80-8.7%
13Bollinger Breakout Weekly6.3%0.45-25.7%55.6%9-5.8%
14Rate of Change Weekly3.5%0.27-57.3%43.9%41-8.6%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Synchrony Financial (SYF), ADX / DMI on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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