The best indicator for TransDigm Group (TDG)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real TransDigm Group (TDG) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
ADX / DMI
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for TransDigm Group (TDG) over ~20.3 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 14.3% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 13.1% | 0.74 | -27.3% | 88.0% | 25 | -14.3% |
| 2 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 14.6% | 0.71 | -57.4% | 75.9% | 79 | -13.2% |
| 3 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 14.6% | 0.69 | -39.2% | 48.8% | 43 | -13.2% |
| 4 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 13.3% | 0.69 | -36.7% | 73.3% | 15 | -14.1% |
| 5 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 13.4% | 0.68 | -62.5% | 75.6% | 131 | -14.4% |
| 6 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 13.6% | 0.66 | -44.6% | 43.1% | 58 | -13.8% |
| 7 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 12.9% | 0.65 | -57.8% | 75.0% | 100 | -14.9% |
| 8 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 17.3% | 0.73 | -63.3% | 50.0% | 12 | -10.5% |
| 9 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 9.6% | 0.57 | -57.4% | 92.6% | 27 | -18.2% |
| 10 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 11.5% | 0.57 | -56.0% | 50.9% | 53 | -15.9% |
| 11 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 11.3% | 0.57 | -52.6% | 44.8% | 67 | -16.1% |
| 12 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 10.2% | 0.56 | -62.5% | 76.8% | 95 | -17.6% |
| 13 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 8.9% | 0.53 | -29.3% | 86.4% | 22 | -18.5% |
| 14 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 18.2% | 0.76 | -62.6% | 60.0% | 10 | -9.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For TransDigm Group (TDG), ADX / DMI on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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