The best indicator for TKO Group Holdings (TKO)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real TKO Group Holdings (TKO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Stochastic
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for TKO Group Holdings (TKO) over ~26.7 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.5% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.53 | -55.2% | 77.8% | 27 | -2.5% |
| 2 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 10.9% | 0.53 | -65.2% | 43.8% | 32 | -1.0% |
| 3 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 9.6% | 0.47 | -55.0% | 35.1% | 77 | -2.3% |
| 4 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.44 | -60.5% | 48.0% | 25 | -4.7% |
| 5 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.44 | -48.0% | 42.1% | 19 | -3.8% |
| 6 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.43 | -54.9% | 43.3% | 127 | -3.7% |
| 7 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.42 | -70.0% | 40.0% | 20 | -3.8% |
| 8 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 7.7% | 0.41 | -63.5% | 37.0% | 73 | -4.2% |
| 9 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.6% | 0.4 | -70.8% | 43.8% | 16 | -4.2% |
| 10 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.4% | 0.4 | -59.0% | 39.3% | 61 | -4.4% |
| 11 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.52 | -68.8% | 63.6% | 11 | -0.9% |
| 12 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 0.38 | -53.5% | 66.7% | 36 | -5.2% |
| 13 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 6.8% | 0.38 | -65.2% | 40.7% | 59 | -5.1% |
| 14 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 5.5% | 0.37 | -65.7% | 40.3% | 129 | -6.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For TKO Group Holdings (TKO), Stochastic on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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