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The best indicator for Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Trend · Daily

EMA 20/50 Cross

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) over ~46.2 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 4.5% CAGR.

8.4%
CAGR
0.47
Sharpe
-54.3%
Max DD
45.3%
Win rate
2.44
Profit factor
-4.5%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
EMA 20/50 Cross
-4.5% · Sharpe 0.47
Weekly
MACD
-5.1% · Sharpe 0.45
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1EMA 20/50 Cross Daily8.4%0.47-54.3%45.3%106-4.5%
2EMA 50/200 Cross Daily8.1%0.45-57.4%44.8%29-4.9%
3SMA 50/200 Cross Daily8.1%0.45-63.1%46.4%28-4.9%
4MACD Weekly7.8%0.45-55.0%51.1%94-5.1%
5EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly7.4%0.42-61.0%50.0%20-5.5%
6Rate of Change Weekly7.2%0.42-64.4%46.1%141-5.7%
7RSI Trend (>50) Weekly7.2%0.41-60.0%42.9%119-5.7%
8Donchian Breakout Weekly7.0%0.41-46.7%45.0%40-6.0%
9Donchian Midline Weekly7.1%0.41-60.3%45.7%129-5.8%
10RSI Trend (>50) Daily6.2%0.39-44.0%37.5%621-6.7%
11EMA-10 Trend Weekly5.7%0.36-54.5%46.7%227-7.2%
12ADX / DMI Weekly4.9%0.34-45.1%47.3%74-8.0%
13Donchian Breakout Daily4.1%0.31-52.3%45.5%198-8.9%
14CCI Weekly4.1%0.31-65.5%80.5%41-8.8%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO), EMA 20/50 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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