The best indicator for Tractor Supply (TSCO)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Tractor Supply (TSCO) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
ADX / DMI
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Tractor Supply (TSCO) over ~32.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.0% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 11.2% | 0.58 | -45.0% | 46.7% | 60 | -5.0% |
| 2 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.6% | 0.56 | -64.1% | 36.8% | 19 | -8.0% |
| 3 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.6% | 0.53 | -58.4% | 43.8% | 16 | -4.6% |
| 4 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.5 | -55.9% | 36.9% | 84 | -5.6% |
| 5 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.3% | 0.47 | -59.1% | 45.2% | 73 | -11.3% |
| 6 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.47 | -59.5% | 71.4% | 49 | -11.5% |
| 7 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 8.6% | 0.45 | -67.2% | 40.4% | 89 | -7.6% |
| 8 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Weekly | 8.2% | 0.56 | -33.5% | 91.7% | 12 | -8.0% |
| 9 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 8.3% | 0.43 | -54.4% | 47.2% | 303 | -7.9% |
| 10 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Weekly | 13.4% | 0.69 | -41.7% | 77.8% | 9 | -2.8% |
| 11 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.8% | 0.4 | -79.6% | 43.5% | 23 | -12.8% |
| 12 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 7.1% | 0.4 | -77.7% | 52.0% | 25 | -9.1% |
| 13 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 6.8% | 0.38 | -59.7% | 47.4% | 95 | -9.3% |
| 14 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 5.3% | 0.34 | -62.4% | 70.6% | 51 | -15.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Tractor Supply (TSCO), ADX / DMI on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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