The best indicator for Uber (UBER)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Uber (UBER) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
MACD
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Uber (UBER) over ~7.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 8.3% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 16.1% | 0.63 | -36.3% | 41.0% | 61 | 8.3% |
| 2 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 9.9% | 0.44 | -59.5% | 68.2% | 44 | 2.1% |
| 3 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 8.6% | 0.42 | -57.1% | 69.7% | 33 | 0.8% |
| 4 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 8.5% | 0.4 | -58.2% | 63.3% | 30 | 0.6% |
| 5 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 7.2% | 0.38 | -47.6% | 50.0% | 16 | -0.5% |
| 6 | Williams %R | Weekly | 11.8% | 0.5 | -51.4% | 70.0% | 10 | 4.0% |
| 7 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 6.7% | 0.36 | -59.8% | 84.6% | 13 | -1.1% |
| 8 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 7.1% | 0.37 | -67.7% | 66.7% | 12 | -0.7% |
| 9 | EMA-10 Trend | Daily | 4.3% | 0.29 | -57.0% | 42.9% | 163 | -3.5% |
| 10 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 2.7% | 0.25 | -63.7% | 60.5% | 38 | -5.1% |
| 11 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 0.6% | 0.19 | -63.3% | 62.0% | 50 | -7.3% |
| 12 | Rate of Change | Daily | 1.2% | 0.19 | -55.4% | 37.0% | 119 | -6.6% |
| 13 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | -0.1% | 0.15 | -51.0% | 33.3% | 18 | -7.9% |
| 14 | MACD | Weekly | -1.2% | 0.14 | -56.0% | 55.6% | 18 | -9.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Uber (UBER), MACD on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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