The best indicator for UnitedHealth Group (UNH)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real UnitedHealth Group (UNH) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Stochastic
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for UnitedHealth Group (UNH) over ~41.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 7.5% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 14.2% | 0.65 | -62.6% | 76.7% | 202 | -7.5% |
| 2 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 15.4% | 0.64 | -76.2% | 30.4% | 23 | -6.4% |
| 3 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 14.9% | 0.63 | -83.5% | 35.3% | 17 | -6.8% |
| 4 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 12.8% | 0.6 | -69.5% | 74.1% | 278 | -8.9% |
| 5 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.59 | -51.0% | 60.0% | 40 | -11.4% |
| 6 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 13.4% | 0.58 | -70.7% | 64.0% | 25 | -8.4% |
| 7 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 12.0% | 0.55 | -73.5% | 78.8% | 156 | -9.7% |
| 8 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 12.0% | 0.55 | -67.7% | 50.0% | 148 | -9.7% |
| 9 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | 11.3% | 0.53 | -58.4% | 46.5% | 2002 | -10.4% |
| 10 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 9.4% | 0.51 | -44.6% | 61.8% | 34 | -12.2% |
| 11 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 9.3% | 0.48 | -62.6% | 42.5% | 419 | -12.5% |
| 12 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 9.8% | 0.48 | -61.9% | 44.1% | 118 | -11.8% |
| 13 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.46 | -54.9% | 84.0% | 50 | -13.6% |
| 14 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.44 | -51.2% | 57.1% | 70 | -14.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For UnitedHealth Group (UNH), Stochastic on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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