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The best indicator for Vulcan Materials Company (VMC)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Oscillator · Daily

WaveTrend (8/6/4)

On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) over ~53.3 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.0% CAGR.

10.4%
CAGR
0.61
Sharpe
-43.1%
Max DD
73.1%
Win rate
2.78
Profit factor
-2.0%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Daily
WaveTrend (8/6/4)
-2.0% · Sharpe 0.61
Weekly
Stochastic
-4.2% · Sharpe 0.55
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1WaveTrend (8/6/4) Daily10.4%0.61-43.1%73.1%212-2.0%
2Stochastic Weekly8.3%0.55-42.0%85.0%60-4.2%
3Bollinger Mean-Reversion Weekly6.4%0.51-38.3%81.0%42-6.0%
4MACD Daily7.9%0.49-46.1%43.0%519-4.5%
5CCI Daily7.0%0.47-43.1%67.6%262-5.4%
6EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly8.1%0.47-62.9%55.0%20-4.3%
7RSI Mean-Reversion Daily5.2%0.45-43.1%89.7%87-7.2%
8Williams %R Weekly7.4%0.45-48.0%76.2%80-5.0%
9Money Flow Index Daily7.1%0.43-57.4%72.0%82-5.3%
10Money Flow Index Weekly5.5%0.45-50.0%85.7%14-6.9%
11EMA-10 Trend Daily6.4%0.42-74.0%39.4%1162-6.0%
12CCI Weekly6.0%0.41-48.0%81.7%60-6.4%
13WaveTrend (8/6/4) Weekly6.7%0.41-62.9%81.4%43-5.7%
14Donchian Midline Daily6.1%0.4-55.0%39.1%729-6.3%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For Vulcan Materials Company (VMC), WaveTrend (8/6/4) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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