The best indicator for Welltower (WELL)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Welltower (WELL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Donchian Breakout
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Welltower (WELL) over ~46.4 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.6% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 8.8% | 0.62 | -47.9% | 70.0% | 30 | -5.6% |
| 2 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.6% | 0.57 | -38.7% | 47.1% | 34 | -4.9% |
| 3 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.1% | 0.54 | -47.0% | 51.6% | 31 | -5.4% |
| 4 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 6.7% | 0.53 | -60.4% | 47.6% | 63 | -7.7% |
| 5 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 8.1% | 0.5 | -55.7% | 55.0% | 20 | -6.3% |
| 6 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 7.5% | 0.5 | -37.7% | 52.7% | 131 | -6.9% |
| 7 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 7.4% | 0.49 | -41.6% | 41.2% | 114 | -7.0% |
| 8 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 7.4% | 0.48 | -44.6% | 45.0% | 109 | -7.1% |
| 9 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 6.6% | 0.48 | -36.4% | 56.0% | 91 | -7.8% |
| 10 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 6.4% | 0.45 | -47.4% | 54.7% | 159 | -8.0% |
| 11 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 5.1% | 0.44 | -31.8% | 55.1% | 49 | -9.3% |
| 12 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Weekly | 5.8% | 0.43 | -32.5% | 93.8% | 16 | -8.6% |
| 13 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 5.4% | 0.4 | -59.2% | 72.0% | 193 | -9.1% |
| 14 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 6.1% | 0.4 | -60.4% | 72.5% | 160 | -8.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Welltower (WELL), Donchian Breakout on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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