The best indicator for Williams Companies (WMB)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Williams Companies (WMB) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
ADX / DMI
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Williams Companies (WMB) over ~44.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 0.1% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 11.1% | 0.62 | -35.0% | 63.3% | 60 | -0.1% |
| 2 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.6% | 0.59 | -63.1% | 61.5% | 26 | 1.3% |
| 3 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 12.5% | 0.59 | -49.1% | 41.9% | 93 | 1.3% |
| 4 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 11.5% | 0.56 | -64.0% | 52.4% | 126 | 0.3% |
| 5 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 11.1% | 0.54 | -62.3% | 54.2% | 24 | -0.2% |
| 6 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 11.0% | 0.54 | -62.2% | 47.1% | 17 | -0.2% |
| 7 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 10.5% | 0.53 | -60.6% | 53.7% | 123 | -0.7% |
| 8 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 10.3% | 0.52 | -69.4% | 52.3% | 199 | -0.9% |
| 9 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 9.5% | 0.46 | -81.8% | 55.9% | 93 | -1.8% |
| 10 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 7.8% | 0.44 | -66.7% | 60.0% | 40 | -3.4% |
| 11 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.43 | -62.1% | 38.9% | 609 | -3.3% |
| 12 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 8.0% | 0.43 | -71.7% | 55.9% | 143 | -3.3% |
| 13 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.42 | -56.7% | 52.0% | 175 | -3.9% |
| 14 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.37 | -80.2% | 72.5% | 211 | -3.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Williams Companies (WMB), ADX / DMI on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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