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The best indicator for W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB)

We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.

Trend · Weekly

EMA 20/50 Cross

On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) over ~52.8 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 2.5% CAGR.

11.3%
CAGR
0.58
Sharpe
-63.7%
Max DD
55.0%
Win rate
12.89
Profit factor
-2.5%
vs Buy&Hold
Best by timeframe

The winner on each chart

Weekly
EMA 20/50 Cross
-2.5% · Sharpe 0.58
Daily
EMA 50/200 Cross
-3.7% · Sharpe 0.53
Full results

Every indicator, ranked

Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.

#IndicatorTFCAGRSharpeMax DDWinTradesvs B&H
1EMA 20/50 Cross Weekly11.3%0.58-63.7%55.0%20-2.5%
2Williams %R Weekly10.0%0.56-46.4%75.0%64-3.7%
3Heikin-Ashi Trend Weekly11.3%0.56-62.0%46.7%458-2.4%
4EMA 50/200 Cross Daily9.8%0.53-67.7%51.7%29-3.7%
5SMA 50/200 Cross Daily9.2%0.51-56.1%56.7%30-4.3%
6Stochastic Weekly9.1%0.51-53.5%74.0%50-4.7%
7MACD Daily8.8%0.49-70.9%46.0%493-4.8%
8Money Flow Index Daily7.8%0.49-65.0%66.0%100-5.8%
9RSI Trend (>50) Daily8.6%0.48-79.0%38.2%683-4.9%
10Rate of Change Daily8.3%0.47-70.0%43.0%838-5.2%
11RSI Trend (>50) Weekly8.1%0.46-63.3%45.1%144-5.7%
12Bollinger BreakoutDaily6.7%0.45-45.4%42.2%251-6.9%
13WaveTrend (8/6/4) Daily7.2%0.43-66.1%67.6%185-6.3%
14Donchian Midline Daily7.2%0.43-70.2%39.9%667-6.4%

= held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.

What this means

For W. R. Berkley Corporation (WRB), EMA 20/50 Cross on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.

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