The best indicator for AMD
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real AMD history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
ADX / DMI
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for AMD over ~46.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 6.9% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 18.3% | 0.67 | -59.2% | 44.0% | 284 | 6.9% |
| 2 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 18.5% | 0.62 | -69.6% | 40.5% | 602 | 7.0% |
| 3 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | 1-Hour | 49.2% | 1.14 | -51.4% | 28.6% | 14 | -15.4% |
| 4 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 17.3% | 0.6 | -70.0% | 35.9% | 601 | 5.9% |
| 5 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | 1-Hour | 32.8% | 1.01 | -33.8% | 42.6% | 68 | -31.9% |
| 6 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 14.6% | 0.58 | -74.2% | 40.8% | 213 | 3.2% |
| 7 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 17.4% | 0.58 | -87.1% | 51.2% | 84 | 5.9% |
| 8 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 17.3% | 0.58 | -71.4% | 46.5% | 129 | 5.7% |
| 9 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | 1-Hour | 38.1% | 0.98 | -45.6% | 33.3% | 48 | -26.6% |
| 10 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 15.6% | 0.55 | -81.6% | 43.2% | 125 | 4.0% |
| 11 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 13.8% | 0.55 | -66.4% | 54.8% | 42 | 2.2% |
| 12 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 15.6% | 0.55 | -75.5% | 45.1% | 215 | 4.0% |
| 13 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 14.9% | 0.54 | -80.6% | 34.0% | 103 | 3.5% |
| 14 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 14.8% | 0.54 | -83.4% | 39.7% | 691 | 3.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For AMD, ADX / DMI on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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