The best indicator for Exxon (XOM)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Exxon (XOM) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
EMA 50/200 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Exxon (XOM) over ~64.3 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 1.9% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 10.4% | 0.64 | -35.5% | 56.2% | 32 | -1.9% |
| 2 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Weekly | 9.9% | 0.62 | -44.8% | 56.5% | 23 | -2.3% |
| 3 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 8.0% | 0.61 | -59.9% | 71.6% | 328 | -4.3% |
| 4 | SMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 9.3% | 0.6 | -46.1% | 52.4% | 42 | -2.9% |
| 5 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.55 | -59.0% | 67.8% | 432 | -5.0% |
| 6 | Money Flow Index ✓ | 1-Hour | 14.2% | 0.88 | -18.4% | 66.7% | 18 | 1.1% |
| 7 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.46 | -58.3% | 50.0% | 50 | -6.2% |
| 8 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | 1-Hour | 8.8% | 0.79 | -12.7% | 72.5% | 40 | -4.3% |
| 9 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | 5.3% | 0.45 | -45.6% | 52.6% | 78 | -6.9% |
| 10 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 4.9% | 0.44 | -63.3% | 73.2% | 254 | -7.4% |
| 11 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 5.9% | 0.44 | -56.0% | 71.2% | 240 | -6.4% |
| 12 | Holy Grail Confluence ✓ | Daily | 5.2% | 0.44 | -49.1% | 85.1% | 87 | -7.1% |
| 13 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 5.5% | 0.41 | -55.7% | 39.0% | 154 | -6.7% |
| 14 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 5.1% | 0.41 | -60.3% | 70.2% | 312 | -7.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Exxon (XOM), EMA 50/200 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More stock
Get the weekly edge report
The best-performing indicator per asset, what changed this week, and the honest caveats — straight to your inbox.