The best indicator for Bitcoin Cash (BCH)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Bitcoin Cash (BCH) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
EMA-10 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Bitcoin Cash (BCH) over ~12.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 25.6% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rate of Change | Daily | 16.5% | 0.54 | -78.3% | 33.5% | 203 | 24.8% |
| 2 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 17.3% | 0.54 | -72.4% | 36.5% | 285 | 25.6% |
| 3 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 14.1% | 0.51 | -63.5% | 29.3% | 75 | 22.4% |
| 4 | MACD | Daily | 11.5% | 0.48 | -77.0% | 37.9% | 124 | 19.8% |
| 5 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Daily | 10.0% | 0.44 | -85.8% | 46.1% | 568 | 18.3% |
| 6 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 9.2% | 0.41 | -57.9% | 35.7% | 56 | 17.4% |
| 7 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 6.3% | 0.39 | -77.7% | 36.2% | 163 | 14.6% |
| 8 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 6.9% | 0.35 | -70.1% | 82.4% | 17 | 15.2% |
| 9 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | 3.3% | 0.35 | -79.8% | 33.3% | 171 | 11.6% |
| 10 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Weekly | -1.0% | 0.35 | -92.1% | 41.0% | 78 | 18.1% |
| 11 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | -5.0% | 0.31 | -87.8% | 26.7% | 15 | 14.1% |
| 12 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) | Daily | -1.7% | 0.28 | -86.1% | 56.4% | 55 | 6.6% |
| 13 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | -2.3% | 0.28 | -70.6% | 40.0% | 25 | 16.7% |
| 14 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | -1.1% | 0.27 | -86.9% | 31.0% | 29 | 7.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Bitcoin Cash (BCH), EMA-10 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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