The best indicator for Bonk (BONK)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Bonk (BONK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Bollinger Mean-Reversion
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Bonk (BONK) over ~4.3 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 35.3% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MACD | Daily | 105.4% | 1.11 | -80.1% | 46.4% | 28 | 64.4% |
| 2 | Bollinger Breakout | Daily | 94.8% | 1.11 | -61.8% | 42.9% | 14 | 53.8% |
| 3 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Daily | 99.8% | 0.97 | -67.1% | 25.3% | 154 | 58.8% |
| 4 | Donchian Midline | Daily | 72.6% | 0.95 | -72.7% | 39.2% | 51 | 31.7% |
| 5 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | 54.7% | 0.87 | -67.6% | 28.2% | 39 | 13.7% |
| 6 | EMA-10 Trend | Daily | 28.8% | 0.7 | -87.5% | 29.3% | 75 | -12.2% |
| 7 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) | Daily | 23.8% | 0.68 | -87.6% | 60.0% | 15 | -17.2% |
| 8 | Rate of Change | Daily | 25.5% | 0.67 | -77.8% | 40.4% | 47 | -15.5% |
| 9 | Donchian Breakout | Daily | 44.4% | 0.8 | -70.7% | 36.4% | 11 | 3.4% |
| 10 | EMA 20/50 Cross | Daily | 11.7% | 0.56 | -89.2% | 36.4% | 11 | -29.3% |
| 11 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Weekly | 1.9% | 0.56 | -83.7% | 30.4% | 23 | -27.9% |
| 12 | EMA-10 Trend | Weekly | 27.2% | 0.69 | -82.2% | 25.0% | 12 | -2.6% |
| 13 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 5.7% | 0.36 | -52.1% | 50.0% | 14 | -35.3% |
| 14 | ADX / DMI | Daily | -15.0% | 0.33 | -91.4% | 19.4% | 31 | -55.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Bonk (BONK), Bollinger Mean-Reversion on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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