The best indicator for Hedera (HBAR)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Hedera (HBAR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Heikin-Ashi Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Hedera (HBAR) over ~6.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 45.0% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 56.2% | 0.79 | -56.7% | 30.5% | 59 | 45.0% |
| 2 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 39.6% | 0.76 | -72.6% | 35.7% | 28 | 40.7% |
| 3 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 45.5% | 0.76 | -55.3% | 53.3% | 15 | 34.4% |
| 4 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 48.1% | 0.74 | -69.3% | 34.6% | 26 | 36.9% |
| 5 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 32.4% | 0.7 | -71.6% | 26.1% | 23 | 33.4% |
| 6 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 32.4% | 0.69 | -84.6% | 31.4% | 51 | 33.5% |
| 7 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 29.0% | 0.66 | -87.7% | 32.5% | 40 | 30.1% |
| 8 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | 20.1% | 0.58 | -91.2% | 40.7% | 423 | 21.2% |
| 9 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 20.0% | 0.58 | -91.0% | 35.8% | 226 | 21.1% |
| 10 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 18.2% | 0.56 | -93.4% | 33.7% | 92 | 19.3% |
| 11 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 56.7% | 0.84 | -65.7% | 40.0% | 10 | 45.5% |
| 12 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 17.6% | 0.55 | -82.7% | 26.7% | 120 | 18.6% |
| 13 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 15.2% | 0.53 | -90.8% | 39.3% | 145 | 16.2% |
| 14 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 7.9% | 0.45 | -90.2% | 41.7% | 163 | 9.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Hedera (HBAR), Heikin-Ashi Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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