The best indicator for Hyperliquid (HYPE)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Hyperliquid (HYPE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
ADX / DMI
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Hyperliquid (HYPE) over ~5.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 101.8% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 10.6% | 0.7 | -94.1% | 23.1% | 26 | 101.8% |
| 2 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | -16.8% | 0.4 | -94.9% | 38.3% | 47 | 74.4% |
| 3 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | -33.6% | 0.45 | -97.6% | 21.4% | 28 | 63.5% |
| 4 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | -23.8% | 0.31 | -96.3% | 29.4% | 17 | 67.4% |
| 5 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | -31.9% | 0.41 | -98.6% | 30.0% | 10 | 59.3% |
| 6 | EMA-10 Trend | Daily | -58.4% | 0.2 | -99.5% | 31.7% | 101 | 32.8% |
| 7 | Rate of Change | Weekly | -24.5% | 0.49 | -95.8% | 25.0% | 8 | 72.6% |
| 8 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | -53.0% | 0.14 | -99.0% | 33.3% | 48 | 38.1% |
| 9 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) | Daily | -90.8% | 0.09 | -100.0% | 46.2% | 13 | 0.4% |
| 10 | Williams %R | Daily | -90.8% | 0.03 | -100.0% | 50.0% | 16 | 0.4% |
| 11 | Stochastic | Daily | -91.4% | -0.01 | -100.0% | 46.2% | 13 | -0.2% |
| 12 | MACD | Daily | -82.5% | -0.02 | -100.0% | 31.7% | 41 | 8.6% |
| 13 | Rate of Change | Daily | -67.9% | -0.07 | -99.9% | 40.2% | 82 | 23.2% |
| 14 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Daily | -77.3% | -0.07 | -100.0% | 33.9% | 242 | 13.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Hyperliquid (HYPE), ADX / DMI on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More crypto
Get the weekly edge report
The best-performing indicator per asset, what changed this week, and the honest caveats — straight to your inbox.