The best indicator for Chainlink (LINK)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Chainlink (LINK) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
MACD
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Chainlink (LINK) over ~8.6 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 28.0% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MACD | Daily | 46.7% | 0.89 | -79.9% | 43.7% | 119 | 13.8% |
| 2 | EMA-10 Trend | Daily | 46.2% | 0.87 | -76.1% | 43.2% | 287 | 13.3% |
| 3 | Rate of Change | Daily | 44.6% | 0.86 | -64.4% | 47.5% | 183 | 11.7% |
| 4 | Bollinger Breakout | Daily | 35.7% | 0.8 | -65.8% | 38.1% | 63 | 2.8% |
| 5 | Donchian Midline | Daily | 38.1% | 0.79 | -79.4% | 43.2% | 183 | 5.2% |
| 6 | ADX / DMI | Daily | 31.7% | 0.72 | -85.3% | 34.8% | 89 | -1.3% |
| 7 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | 30.1% | 0.71 | -81.2% | 39.8% | 166 | -2.8% |
| 8 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Weekly | 25.8% | 0.67 | -91.3% | 44.0% | 75 | -29.7% |
| 9 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 27.6% | 0.69 | -80.3% | 35.7% | 14 | -28.0% |
| 10 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 22.2% | 0.64 | -90.9% | 28.6% | 21 | -33.3% |
| 11 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Daily | 22.3% | 0.63 | -89.8% | 46.3% | 547 | -10.6% |
| 12 | Donchian Breakout | Daily | 20.3% | 0.6 | -82.6% | 38.0% | 50 | -12.6% |
| 13 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 17.4% | 0.6 | -86.8% | 43.3% | 30 | -38.2% |
| 14 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 18.7% | 0.6 | -86.9% | 34.6% | 26 | -36.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Chainlink (LINK), MACD on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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