The best indicator for Lighter (LIT)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Lighter (LIT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Williams %R
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Lighter (LIT) over ~8.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 62.0% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 1.01 | -99.2% | 54.0% | 50 | 62.0% |
| 2 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 46.9% | 1.0 | -98.9% | 65.2% | 46 | 102.3% |
| 3 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 210.9% | 0.87 | -96.2% | 66.7% | 39 | 266.3% |
| 4 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 25.0% | 0.85 | -98.0% | 61.3% | 31 | 80.4% |
| 5 | CCI ✓ | Daily | 2.8% | 0.78 | -98.9% | 61.0% | 41 | 58.2% |
| 6 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 19.6% | 0.84 | -96.9% | 53.8% | 13 | 75.0% |
| 7 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | -77.6% | 0.69 | -100.0% | 30.2% | 43 | -22.2% |
| 8 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | -61.2% | 0.51 | -100.0% | 43.1% | 58 | 7.8% |
| 9 | MACD ✓ | Daily | -86.5% | 0.44 | -100.0% | 37.2% | 86 | -31.1% |
| 10 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | -74.0% | 0.38 | -100.0% | 37.9% | 29 | -18.6% |
| 11 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | -78.8% | 0.36 | -100.0% | 41.7% | 24 | -23.4% |
| 12 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | -86.3% | 0.29 | -100.0% | 39.8% | 415 | -30.9% |
| 13 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | -85.0% | 0.24 | -100.0% | 35.8% | 109 | -29.6% |
| 14 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | -81.1% | 0.21 | -100.0% | 42.3% | 26 | -12.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Lighter (LIT), Williams %R on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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