The best indicator for Litecoin (LTC)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Litecoin (LTC) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
MACD
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Litecoin (LTC) over ~11.8 years — beating buy-and-hold by 16.4% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian Midline | Weekly | 38.6% | 0.75 | -75.4% | 50.0% | 30 | 17.1% |
| 2 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 37.9% | 0.74 | -85.9% | 50.0% | 20 | 16.4% |
| 3 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 33.9% | 0.71 | -85.0% | 50.0% | 36 | 12.5% |
| 4 | Donchian Midline | Daily | 29.1% | 0.7 | -79.5% | 38.3% | 230 | 15.8% |
| 5 | EMA-10 Trend | Weekly | 31.3% | 0.68 | -87.7% | 47.3% | 55 | 9.9% |
| 6 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | 24.6% | 0.65 | -89.5% | 29.6% | 230 | 11.3% |
| 7 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Weekly | 27.1% | 0.64 | -92.4% | 45.1% | 102 | 5.7% |
| 8 | EMA 20/50 Cross | Daily | 22.6% | 0.63 | -86.9% | 32.4% | 37 | 9.3% |
| 9 | RSI Trend (>50) | Weekly | 23.4% | 0.61 | -88.7% | 36.8% | 38 | 2.0% |
| 10 | MACD | Daily | 18.5% | 0.57 | -84.4% | 39.7% | 156 | 5.3% |
| 11 | Bollinger Breakout | Weekly | 20.7% | 0.58 | -86.3% | 28.6% | 14 | -0.8% |
| 12 | Rate of Change | Daily | 16.6% | 0.54 | -77.2% | 36.4% | 280 | 3.4% |
| 13 | ADX / DMI | Weekly | 13.9% | 0.52 | -93.1% | 37.5% | 16 | -7.5% |
| 14 | EMA-10 Trend | Daily | 14.1% | 0.51 | -92.8% | 36.9% | 396 | 0.9% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Litecoin (LTC), MACD on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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