The best indicator for NEAR Protocol (NEAR)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real NEAR Protocol (NEAR) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Donchian Midline
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for NEAR Protocol (NEAR) over ~8.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 59.5% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 66.4% | 1.04 | -68.6% | 43.9% | 98 | 59.5% |
| 2 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | 49.9% | 0.9 | -76.5% | 39.3% | 84 | 43.0% |
| 3 | ADX / DMI | Daily | 47.4% | 0.88 | -77.7% | 42.9% | 49 | 40.5% |
| 4 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 40.2% | 0.81 | -72.9% | 39.2% | 189 | 33.3% |
| 5 | Donchian Breakout | Daily | 37.8% | 0.79 | -82.2% | 34.5% | 29 | 30.9% |
| 6 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 35.8% | 0.78 | -58.6% | 44.1% | 34 | 29.0% |
| 7 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | 33.5% | 0.75 | -83.2% | 42.7% | 342 | 26.6% |
| 8 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 30.5% | 0.72 | -75.8% | 42.9% | 70 | 23.7% |
| 9 | EMA 20/50 Cross | Daily | 25.3% | 0.66 | -74.8% | 35.0% | 20 | 18.4% |
| 10 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Weekly | 21.7% | 0.66 | -82.3% | 31.4% | 51 | 5.6% |
| 11 | Rate of Change | Daily | 21.0% | 0.62 | -85.2% | 39.4% | 127 | 14.2% |
| 12 | Rate of Change | Weekly | 17.0% | 0.62 | -85.9% | 47.6% | 21 | 0.9% |
| 13 | RSI Trend (>50) | Weekly | 16.6% | 0.59 | -84.4% | 46.7% | 15 | 0.5% |
| 14 | EMA-10 Trend | Weekly | 7.0% | 0.51 | -85.0% | 35.7% | 28 | -9.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For NEAR Protocol (NEAR), Donchian Midline on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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