The best indicator for Pi Network (PI)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Pi Network (PI) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Heikin-Ashi Trend
On the weekly chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Pi Network (PI) over ~6.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 63.1% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 17.6% | 0.64 | -72.1% | 39.0% | 59 | 63.1% |
| 2 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 24.0% | 0.62 | -80.0% | 50.0% | 22 | 60.1% |
| 3 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | -1.1% | 0.51 | -94.2% | 38.5% | 13 | 44.4% |
| 4 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | -8.7% | 0.39 | -88.4% | 25.0% | 20 | 36.8% |
| 5 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | -2.3% | 0.37 | -91.9% | 36.0% | 25 | 33.8% |
| 6 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | -9.2% | 0.34 | -87.1% | 37.1% | 35 | 36.3% |
| 7 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Weekly | -15.8% | 0.37 | -97.8% | 37.5% | 8 | 29.7% |
| 8 | RSI Trend (>50) | Weekly | -15.3% | 0.18 | -95.6% | 21.1% | 19 | 30.2% |
| 9 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | -11.6% | 0.17 | -87.6% | 38.6% | 44 | 24.5% |
| 10 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | -27.3% | 0.17 | -99.7% | 53.2% | 47 | 8.8% |
| 11 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | -25.7% | 0.16 | -98.5% | 25.4% | 67 | 10.4% |
| 12 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | -28.5% | 0.14 | -99.5% | 67.5% | 40 | 7.6% |
| 13 | MACD ✓ | Daily | -31.3% | 0.1 | -99.3% | 32.3% | 96 | 4.8% |
| 14 | Holy Grail Confluence | Daily | -7.4% | 0.13 | -83.3% | 37.5% | 8 | 28.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Pi Network (PI), Heikin-Ashi Trend on the weekly timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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