The best indicator for POL (ex-MATIC) (POL)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real POL (ex-MATIC) (POL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
CCI
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for POL (ex-MATIC) (POL) over ~4.7 years — beating buy-and-hold by 16.0% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Weekly | 15.1% | 0.57 | -92.2% | 27.3% | 33 | 42.7% |
| 2 | CCI ✓ | Daily | -2.7% | 0.36 | -79.6% | 27.3% | 22 | 16.0% |
| 3 | EMA-10 Trend | Weekly | 47.8% | 0.75 | -89.4% | 20.0% | 10 | 75.4% |
| 4 | EMA 20/50 Cross | Daily | 33.1% | 0.64 | -87.6% | 12.5% | 8 | 51.9% |
| 5 | ADX / DMI | Daily | -23.8% | 0.31 | -98.8% | 16.7% | 30 | -5.1% |
| 6 | Bollinger Breakout | Daily | -10.2% | 0.29 | -90.9% | 22.2% | 18 | 8.6% |
| 7 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 14.9% | 0.46 | -81.7% | 66.7% | 9 | 33.7% |
| 8 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Daily | -24.1% | 0.27 | -98.5% | 34.1% | 211 | -5.3% |
| 9 | Donchian Breakout | Daily | 13.6% | 0.5 | -88.3% | 50.0% | 8 | 32.4% |
| 10 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | -4.4% | 0.23 | -62.3% | 37.5% | 16 | 14.4% |
| 11 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | -34.2% | 0.16 | -95.9% | 46.7% | 15 | -15.4% |
| 12 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | -38.4% | 0.1 | -96.6% | 21.4% | 14 | -19.6% |
| 13 | Rate of Change | Daily | -34.0% | 0.07 | -98.7% | 32.1% | 84 | -15.2% |
| 14 | Donchian Midline | Daily | -29.1% | 0.06 | -97.1% | 28.1% | 57 | -10.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For POL (ex-MATIC) (POL), CCI on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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