The best indicator for Rain (RAIN)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Rain (RAIN) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
ADX / DMI
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Rain (RAIN) over ~6.3 years — beating buy-and-hold by 49.0% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | -33.2% | 0.7 | -97.7% | 21.2% | 33 | 49.0% |
| 2 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | -47.3% | 0.55 | -100.0% | 48.4% | 31 | 34.9% |
| 3 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | -56.6% | 0.49 | -100.0% | 52.9% | 34 | 25.6% |
| 4 | CCI ✓ | Daily | -57.4% | 0.35 | -99.9% | 42.3% | 26 | 24.8% |
| 5 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | -69.3% | 0.34 | -100.0% | 44.4% | 18 | 12.9% |
| 6 | Donchian Breakout | Daily | -17.1% | 0.3 | -94.6% | 36.4% | 11 | 65.1% |
| 7 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | -55.1% | 0.15 | -98.7% | 34.1% | 41 | 37.0% |
| 8 | EMA 20/50 Cross | Daily | -39.5% | 0.11 | -99.4% | 25.0% | 12 | 42.7% |
| 9 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | -44.9% | 0.04 | -99.5% | 29.4% | 17 | 37.3% |
| 10 | EMA-10 Trend | Weekly | -41.5% | 0.03 | -98.2% | 28.6% | 14 | 50.5% |
| 11 | RSI Mean-Reversion | Daily | -65.0% | -0.06 | -100.0% | 44.4% | 9 | 17.2% |
| 12 | MACD | Daily | -88.1% | -0.27 | -100.0% | 21.0% | 62 | -5.9% |
| 13 | Bollinger Breakout | Daily | -57.2% | -0.37 | -99.8% | 28.0% | 25 | 25.0% |
| 14 | Rate of Change | Daily | -87.5% | -0.55 | -100.0% | 27.6% | 127 | -5.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Rain (RAIN), ADX / DMI on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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