The best indicator for Shiba Inu (SHIB)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Shiba Inu (SHIB) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Bollinger Mean-Reversion
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Shiba Inu (SHIB) over ~7.5 years — beating buy-and-hold by 19.8% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 42.8% | 0.98 | -54.5% | 40.6% | 32 | 19.8% |
| 2 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 40.9% | 0.66 | -87.2% | 25.0% | 48 | 17.9% |
| 3 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Daily | 39.4% | 0.6 | -88.3% | 20.7% | 266 | 16.4% |
| 4 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Weekly | 4.8% | 0.49 | -73.3% | 25.0% | 44 | -13.1% |
| 5 | Rate of Change | Daily | 1.9% | 0.4 | -93.4% | 19.4% | 108 | -21.1% |
| 6 | Bollinger Breakout | Daily | 1.2% | 0.37 | -84.5% | 21.2% | 33 | -21.8% |
| 7 | MACD | Daily | -2.6% | 0.34 | -89.3% | 26.1% | 69 | -25.6% |
| 8 | EMA 20/50 Cross | Daily | -0.4% | 0.33 | -80.6% | 22.7% | 22 | -23.4% |
| 9 | Donchian Midline | Weekly | 10.2% | 0.4 | -68.3% | 16.7% | 12 | -7.6% |
| 10 | Money Flow Index | Daily | -3.2% | 0.28 | -73.4% | 52.9% | 17 | -26.2% |
| 11 | Rate of Change | Weekly | -10.4% | 0.28 | -87.5% | 19.0% | 21 | -28.2% |
| 12 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | -21.2% | 0.27 | -99.0% | 21.9% | 96 | -44.2% |
| 13 | EMA-10 Trend | Weekly | -11.5% | 0.27 | -88.9% | 20.7% | 29 | -29.3% |
| 14 | Donchian Midline | Daily | -18.3% | 0.26 | -99.0% | 23.2% | 99 | -41.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Shiba Inu (SHIB), Bollinger Mean-Reversion on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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