The best indicator for Toncoin (TON)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Toncoin (TON) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Williams %R
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Toncoin (TON) over ~8.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 59.2% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 3.9% | 0.89 | -99.7% | 46.5% | 43 | 59.2% |
| 2 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 98.6% | 0.83 | -99.6% | 47.1% | 34 | 154.0% |
| 3 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 61.2% | 0.81 | -99.4% | 31.7% | 41 | 116.5% |
| 4 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | -38.4% | 0.8 | -99.7% | 55.6% | 27 | 16.9% |
| 5 | MACD ✓ | Daily | -93.5% | 0.78 | -100.0% | 37.2% | 86 | -38.2% |
| 6 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | -4.2% | 0.74 | -96.7% | 38.5% | 13 | 51.2% |
| 7 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 3.4% | 0.62 | -99.6% | 50.0% | 32 | 58.8% |
| 8 | CCI ✓ | Daily | -19.6% | 0.6 | -99.8% | 61.9% | 42 | 35.8% |
| 9 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | -6.5% | 0.59 | -99.9% | 34.5% | 55 | 62.2% |
| 10 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | -69.0% | 0.52 | -100.0% | 37.5% | 16 | -13.6% |
| 11 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | -59.1% | 0.42 | -100.0% | 39.1% | 23 | -3.8% |
| 12 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | -99.0% | 0.42 | -100.0% | 41.2% | 177 | -43.6% |
| 13 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | -99.4% | 0.39 | -100.0% | 44.7% | 389 | -44.1% |
| 14 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 28.5% | 0.54 | -68.2% | 50.0% | 8 | 97.2% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Toncoin (TON), Williams %R on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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