The best indicator for Official Trump (TRUMP)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Official Trump (TRUMP) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
WaveTrend (8/6/4)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Official Trump (TRUMP) over ~11.2 years — beating buy-and-hold by 29.8% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | -6.8% | 1.03 | -99.8% | 65.0% | 40 | 29.8% |
| 2 | CCI ✓ | Daily | -20.5% | 0.76 | -99.9% | 43.6% | 55 | 16.1% |
| 3 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 141.1% | 0.74 | -98.8% | 56.9% | 58 | 177.7% |
| 4 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 38.3% | 0.68 | -99.7% | 51.6% | 64 | 74.9% |
| 5 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | -62.4% | 0.63 | -100.0% | 25.9% | 54 | -25.8% |
| 6 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 264.3% | 0.58 | -78.6% | 50.0% | 46 | 301.0% |
| 7 | MACD ✓ | Daily | -82.1% | 0.54 | -100.0% | 40.2% | 122 | -45.4% |
| 8 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | -59.9% | 0.48 | -100.0% | 47.4% | 38 | -14.2% |
| 9 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | -70.9% | 0.47 | -100.0% | 29.0% | 31 | -34.3% |
| 10 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | -75.7% | 0.5 | -100.0% | 21.4% | 14 | -30.0% |
| 11 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | -88.7% | 0.46 | -100.0% | 41.6% | 517 | -52.1% |
| 12 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | -84.9% | 0.46 | -100.0% | 36.7% | 79 | -39.2% |
| 13 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 28.0% | 0.57 | -75.9% | 81.8% | 11 | 64.7% |
| 14 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | -87.2% | 0.4 | -100.0% | 26.1% | 46 | -50.5% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Official Trump (TRUMP), WaveTrend (8/6/4) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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