The best indicator for TRON (TRX)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real TRON (TRX) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Heikin-Ashi Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for TRON (TRX) over ~12.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 11.8% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | 60.6% | 0.88 | -62.6% | 46.5% | 544 | 11.8% |
| 2 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 52.6% | 0.83 | -79.0% | 72.5% | 40 | 3.8% |
| 3 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 47.3% | 0.78 | -77.8% | 55.6% | 54 | -1.5% |
| 4 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 45.8% | 0.77 | -67.2% | 46.3% | 175 | -3.0% |
| 5 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 41.0% | 0.73 | -73.2% | 44.4% | 295 | -7.8% |
| 6 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 38.1% | 0.71 | -87.0% | 41.9% | 179 | -10.7% |
| 7 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 37.6% | 0.71 | -86.8% | 48.4% | 213 | -11.2% |
| 8 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 31.7% | 0.65 | -90.8% | 43.3% | 67 | -17.1% |
| 9 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 83.6% | 0.6 | -83.6% | 62.5% | 72 | 0.4% |
| 10 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 24.8% | 0.59 | -77.8% | 47.0% | 117 | -24.0% |
| 11 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 18.3% | 0.56 | -72.8% | 54.8% | 31 | -64.8% |
| 12 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 34.2% | 0.75 | -68.5% | 90.9% | 11 | -49.0% |
| 13 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 14.6% | 0.5 | -89.0% | 42.9% | 28 | -34.2% |
| 14 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 12.5% | 0.46 | -81.4% | 40.9% | 22 | -70.6% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For TRON (TRX), Heikin-Ashi Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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