The best indicator for Uniswap (UNI)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Uniswap (UNI) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Stochastic
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Uniswap (UNI) over ~8.0 years — beating buy-and-hold by 318.4% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stochastic ✓ | Daily | 280.1% | 1.24 | -90.7% | 57.7% | 52 | 318.4% |
| 2 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 95.9% | 0.81 | -90.0% | 56.7% | 30 | 134.2% |
| 3 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | -81.8% | 0.69 | -100.0% | 23.3% | 30 | -43.5% |
| 4 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | -94.5% | 0.67 | -100.0% | 20.9% | 43 | -56.2% |
| 5 | CCI ✓ | Daily | -46.4% | 0.6 | -99.8% | 67.6% | 34 | -8.1% |
| 6 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | -83.6% | 0.55 | -100.0% | 11.8% | 17 | -45.3% |
| 7 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | -89.2% | 0.48 | -100.0% | 40.4% | 366 | -50.9% |
| 8 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | -30.0% | 0.43 | -100.0% | 30.8% | 52 | 23.3% |
| 9 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 42.9% | 0.36 | -100.0% | 64.3% | 28 | 81.1% |
| 10 | MACD ✓ | Daily | -78.2% | 0.35 | -100.0% | 31.1% | 74 | -40.0% |
| 11 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 85.7% | 0.35 | -100.0% | 49.2% | 65 | 124.0% |
| 12 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 133.4% | 0.35 | -99.8% | 61.5% | 13 | 171.7% |
| 13 | RSI Mean-Reversion ✓ | Daily | 194.1% | 0.35 | -92.4% | 66.7% | 9 | 232.3% |
| 14 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | -91.4% | 0.08 | -100.0% | 31.8% | 44 | -53.1% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Uniswap (UNI), Stochastic on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More crypto
Get the weekly edge report
The best-performing indicator per asset, what changed this week, and the honest caveats — straight to your inbox.