The best indicator for BNB
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real BNB history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Rate of Change
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for BNB over ~12.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 7.0% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 65.1% | 1.09 | -69.7% | 45.4% | 216 | 7.0% |
| 2 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | 56.7% | 1.02 | -82.3% | 48.0% | 531 | -1.5% |
| 3 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 54.7% | 1.0 | -72.0% | 42.2% | 45 | -3.4% |
| 4 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 56.3% | 1.0 | -74.8% | 45.2% | 166 | -1.9% |
| 5 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 50.2% | 0.95 | -61.7% | 43.9% | 107 | -8.0% |
| 6 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 51.8% | 0.95 | -81.5% | 41.2% | 160 | -6.3% |
| 7 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 49.9% | 0.94 | -73.5% | 48.4% | 273 | -8.2% |
| 8 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 46.8% | 0.93 | -76.8% | 50.0% | 78 | -11.3% |
| 9 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 44.3% | 0.91 | -61.0% | 42.6% | 54 | -13.8% |
| 10 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 73.3% | 0.91 | -74.7% | 51.3% | 76 | -26.5% |
| 11 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 45.2% | 0.89 | -71.7% | 34.8% | 23 | -12.9% |
| 12 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 47.3% | 0.82 | -83.1% | 32.0% | 25 | -52.6% |
| 13 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 71.5% | 1.01 | -70.3% | 50.0% | 12 | -28.4% |
| 14 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 43.6% | 0.78 | -82.7% | 35.7% | 28 | -56.3% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For BNB, Rate of Change on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More crypto
Get the weekly edge report
The best-performing indicator per asset, what changed this week, and the honest caveats — straight to your inbox.