The best indicator for Solana (SOL)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Solana (SOL) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
RSI Trend (>50)
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Solana (SOL) over ~8.9 years — beating buy-and-hold by 29.9% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bollinger Breakout | Daily | 84.8% | 1.31 | -60.0% | 52.6% | 38 | 24.4% |
| 2 | EMA-10 Trend | Weekly | 131.5% | 1.29 | -76.4% | 40.7% | 27 | 31.3% |
| 3 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 90.4% | 1.25 | -69.1% | 35.1% | 114 | 29.9% |
| 4 | ADX / DMI | Daily | 84.0% | 1.23 | -69.0% | 38.2% | 55 | 23.5% |
| 5 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 117.2% | 1.23 | -88.7% | 51.9% | 54 | 17.0% |
| 6 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 126.3% | 1.31 | -71.7% | 50.0% | 14 | 26.1% |
| 7 | Donchian Breakout | Daily | 79.4% | 1.21 | -75.4% | 40.6% | 32 | 19.0% |
| 8 | Donchian Midline | Daily | 80.8% | 1.18 | -71.6% | 45.2% | 115 | 20.3% |
| 9 | EMA 20/50 Cross | Daily | 81.2% | 1.16 | -77.4% | 38.9% | 18 | 20.7% |
| 10 | EMA-10 Trend | Daily | 76.0% | 1.14 | -69.4% | 40.6% | 192 | 15.5% |
| 11 | Rate of Change | Weekly | 76.5% | 1.03 | -83.0% | 54.5% | 22 | -23.7% |
| 12 | Rate of Change | Daily | 62.0% | 1.02 | -66.4% | 42.0% | 138 | 1.5% |
| 13 | MACD | Daily | 60.2% | 1.01 | -84.4% | 41.8% | 79 | -0.3% |
| 14 | Donchian Midline | Weekly | 64.8% | 0.98 | -73.4% | 42.1% | 19 | -35.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Solana (SOL), RSI Trend (>50) on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More crypto
Get the weekly edge report
The best-performing indicator per asset, what changed this week, and the honest caveats — straight to your inbox.