The best indicator for Dogecoin (DOGE)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Dogecoin (DOGE) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
EMA-10 Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Dogecoin (DOGE) over ~12.4 years — beating buy-and-hold by 34.4% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 73.4% | 1.02 | -70.9% | 39.7% | 262 | 34.4% |
| 2 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 71.0% | 1.0 | -71.5% | 42.0% | 200 | 32.0% |
| 3 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 63.1% | 0.95 | -76.8% | 41.1% | 56 | 24.1% |
| 4 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 62.1% | 0.94 | -80.5% | 43.0% | 100 | 23.1% |
| 5 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 50.6% | 0.85 | -88.5% | 39.7% | 131 | 11.6% |
| 6 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 50.6% | 0.85 | -76.6% | 51.4% | 37 | 11.6% |
| 7 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 49.7% | 0.85 | -82.8% | 41.8% | 158 | 10.7% |
| 8 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | 43.1% | 0.79 | -78.6% | 42.5% | 562 | 4.2% |
| 9 | ADX / DMI ✓ | Daily | 37.5% | 0.75 | -90.0% | 32.9% | 76 | -1.5% |
| 10 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 67.1% | 0.75 | -79.3% | 43.3% | 67 | 0.4% |
| 11 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 45.0% | 0.62 | -80.3% | 37.5% | 16 | -21.7% |
| 12 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 45.4% | 0.59 | -72.4% | 45.0% | 20 | -21.3% |
| 13 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 28.6% | 0.55 | -90.5% | 24.0% | 25 | -10.4% |
| 14 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 28.7% | 0.55 | -89.8% | 23.5% | 34 | -38.0% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Dogecoin (DOGE), EMA-10 Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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