The best indicator for Wide Moat (MOAT)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Wide Moat (MOAT) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
EMA 20/50 Cross
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Wide Moat (MOAT) over ~14.1 years — trailing buy-and-hold by 5.2% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMA 20/50 Cross ✓ | Daily | 8.3% | 0.73 | -27.2% | 48.3% | 29 | -5.2% |
| 2 | Rate of Change ✓ | Weekly | 7.9% | 0.69 | -18.9% | 63.2% | 38 | -5.4% |
| 3 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 6.9% | 0.67 | -26.2% | 46.8% | 216 | -6.6% |
| 4 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 6.4% | 0.66 | -13.3% | 62.3% | 61 | -7.1% |
| 5 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Daily | 6.8% | 0.58 | -28.2% | 77.1% | 48 | -6.8% |
| 6 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 6.2% | 0.57 | -25.2% | 47.5% | 202 | -7.3% |
| 7 | MACD ✓ | Weekly | 5.0% | 0.53 | -17.9% | 52.9% | 34 | -8.3% |
| 8 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 5.1% | 0.53 | -17.8% | 70.6% | 17 | -8.2% |
| 9 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | 5.3% | 0.52 | -30.4% | 45.7% | 186 | -8.2% |
| 10 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 5.0% | 0.51 | -18.9% | 46.6% | 148 | -8.6% |
| 11 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 5.4% | 0.5 | -21.5% | 56.5% | 62 | -7.9% |
| 12 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Weekly | 5.7% | 0.5 | -25.6% | 51.2% | 43 | -7.6% |
| 13 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Weekly | 5.3% | 0.48 | -28.5% | 61.5% | 39 | -8.0% |
| 14 | Williams %R ✓ | Daily | 5.1% | 0.47 | -28.1% | 74.5% | 98 | -8.4% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Wide Moat (MOAT), EMA 20/50 Cross on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It still trailed buy-and-hold on raw return — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
More etf
Get the weekly edge report
The best-performing indicator per asset, what changed this week, and the honest caveats — straight to your inbox.