The best indicator for Solar (TAN)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Solar (TAN) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Donchian Breakout
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Solar (TAN) over ~18.1 years — beating buy-and-hold by 16.0% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donchian Breakout ✓ | Daily | 10.1% | 0.51 | -47.9% | 40.9% | 66 | 16.0% |
| 2 | Donchian Midline | Daily | 10.3% | 0.49 | -60.8% | 39.2% | 222 | 16.2% |
| 3 | RSI Trend (>50) | Daily | 9.4% | 0.46 | -67.2% | 35.1% | 228 | 15.2% |
| 4 | EMA-10 Trend | Daily | 9.3% | 0.45 | -59.8% | 34.5% | 388 | 15.1% |
| 5 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Daily | 6.3% | 0.39 | -46.4% | 42.0% | 69 | 12.1% |
| 6 | ADX / DMI | Weekly | 6.0% | 0.36 | -66.9% | 47.8% | 23 | 11.9% |
| 7 | Rate of Change | Weekly | 5.0% | 0.31 | -68.3% | 39.6% | 53 | 11.0% |
| 8 | Donchian Midline | Weekly | 4.9% | 0.31 | -73.2% | 34.9% | 43 | 10.9% |
| 9 | EMA 50/200 Cross ✓ | Daily | 6.6% | 0.38 | -59.7% | 45.5% | 11 | 12.4% |
| 10 | SMA 50/200 Cross | Daily | 5.7% | 0.34 | -67.9% | 41.7% | 12 | 11.6% |
| 11 | EMA-10 Trend | Weekly | 3.8% | 0.27 | -73.7% | 35.1% | 77 | 9.7% |
| 12 | Donchian Breakout | Weekly | 5.2% | 0.33 | -60.0% | 41.7% | 12 | 11.2% |
| 13 | Bollinger Breakout ✓ | Weekly | 3.5% | 0.27 | -55.7% | 35.7% | 14 | 9.5% |
| 14 | Heikin-Ashi Trend | Daily | 2.9% | 0.25 | -68.3% | 46.1% | 916 | 8.8% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Solar (TAN), Donchian Breakout on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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