The best indicator for Uranium (URA)
We backtested 20 indicators across daily, weekly and hourly charts on real Uranium (URA) history. Here's what actually worked — risk-adjusted, out-of-sample, with costs.
Heikin-Ashi Trend
On the daily chart, this is the strongest risk-adjusted edge we found for Uranium (URA) over ~15.5 years — beating buy-and-hold by 13.1% CAGR.
The winner on each chart
Every indicator, ranked
Ranked by Sharpe (risk-adjusted return). Hypothetical, fees included.
| # | Indicator | TF | CAGR | Sharpe | Max DD | Win | Trades | vs B&H |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Daily | 10.7% | 0.52 | -45.8% | 43.3% | 742 | 13.1% |
| 2 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Daily | 8.9% | 0.47 | -48.0% | 38.4% | 333 | 11.4% |
| 3 | Rate of Change ✓ | Daily | 7.3% | 0.41 | -35.8% | 39.2% | 212 | 9.8% |
| 4 | Donchian Midline ✓ | Daily | 7.0% | 0.4 | -39.1% | 35.6% | 194 | 9.5% |
| 5 | Stochastic ✓ | Weekly | 6.8% | 0.39 | -54.3% | 68.2% | 22 | 9.2% |
| 6 | MACD ✓ | Daily | 6.3% | 0.37 | -39.8% | 38.7% | 137 | 8.8% |
| 7 | CCI ✓ | Weekly | 6.1% | 0.36 | -60.6% | 68.8% | 16 | 8.6% |
| 8 | WaveTrend (8/6/4) ✓ | Weekly | 5.8% | 0.34 | -68.5% | 53.3% | 15 | 8.2% |
| 9 | RSI Trend (>50) ✓ | Daily | 5.3% | 0.33 | -53.6% | 34.2% | 202 | 7.7% |
| 10 | EMA-10 Trend ✓ | Weekly | 4.0% | 0.28 | -53.5% | 31.1% | 74 | 6.5% |
| 11 | Heikin-Ashi Trend ✓ | Weekly | 3.2% | 0.25 | -56.5% | 43.0% | 151 | 5.7% |
| 12 | Williams %R ✓ | Weekly | 1.6% | 0.19 | -63.2% | 56.5% | 23 | 4.0% |
| 13 | Money Flow Index ✓ | Daily | 1.3% | 0.17 | -78.7% | 58.3% | 24 | 3.7% |
| 14 | Bollinger Mean-Reversion ✓ | Weekly | 1.3% | 0.16 | -49.6% | 66.7% | 15 | 3.7% |
✓ = held up out-of-sample. Hypothetical, costs included. See methodology.
For Uranium (URA), Heikin-Ashi Trend on the daily timeframe gave the best balance of return and risk in our test. It beat buy-and-hold — but remember: this is a hypothetical backtest of a standard rule, not a recommendation. Markets change. See the methodology and disclaimer.
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