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Live track record

Do the picks actually work — going forward?

Every backtest is hindsight. So we do two honest things: each pick had to survive an out-of-sample test before we published it, and from 2026-06-08 we track — live, in public — whether following the signals beats simply buying and holding.

Out-of-sample (already proven)

Every pick cleared a held-out test

We split each asset's history and only keep an indicator as the "best" if it held up on data it never saw. Across 739 assets, the published picks' out-of-sample median Sharpe is 0.61. That's the bar each pick had to clear — not a promise about the future.

Live forward (since 2026-06-08)

Following the signals vs. holding

Tracking just started

Live forward tracking began 2026-06-08. Each day we record every asset's signal and price, then measure whether following the picks actually beats buy-and-hold — in real time, with no hindsight. Check back as the record builds.

Why this is the honest version

Anyone can show a pretty backtest. Almost no one publishes whether their picks work after they're published. This page does — updated daily, including the days it loses. Educational information only — not investment advice. Hypothetical backtested results; past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves risk of loss.

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